Will UK unemployment exceed 5.3% in the April 21, 2026 ONS Labour Market release?

Market resolves to YES if the UK unemployment rate (aged 16+) reported in the ONS Labour Market Overview bulletin published on 21 April 2026 is strictly greater than 5.3%. The most recent figure (Nov 2025-Jan 2026, published March 2026) was 5.2%. A reading of exactly 5.3% resolves NO. Resolution is based on the headline unemployment rate in the ONS release published at 7am on 21 April 2026. Source: ONS Labour Market Overview, April 2026 (ons.gov.uk/releases/uklabourmarketapril2026).