Will the Nationwide HPI show annual UK house price growth above 2.5% for April 2026?

Market resolves to YES if the Nationwide House Price Index monthly report for April 2026, published by Nationwide Building Society at the end of April 2026, shows annual UK house price growth strictly greater than 2.5%. Nationwide reported 2.2% annual growth for March 2026 and 1.0% for February 2026. A reading of exactly 2.5% resolves NO. Resolution is based on the headline annual percentage change in Nationwide's April 2026 House Price Report. Source: Nationwide Building Society House Price Index (nationwide.co.uk/about/house-price-index).