Market resolves to YES if the Office for National Statistics CPI 12-month rate for August 2026, published in the ONS Consumer Price Inflation bulletin on 16 September 2026, is strictly below 3.0%. UK CPI was 2.9% in July 2026 (up from 2.6% in June). A reading of exactly 3.0% resolves NO. Resolution uses the headline CPI figure published at 7am. Source: ONS Consumer Price Inflation bulletin (ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices).