Finance 100 days left · resolves 31 Dec 2026

Will Bank Rate still be 3.75% at year-end 2026?

Three MPC meetings remain after September: 5 November and 17 December.

How this resolves

Market resolves to YES if the official Bank of England Bank Rate in force at the close of 31 December 2026 is exactly 3.75%. Independent economist surveys have clustered around Bank Rate finishing 2026 unchanged at 3.75%, while money markets have priced a modest chance of a later hike if energy inflation persists. Any other rate (including 3.50% or 4.00%) resolves NO. Source: Bank of England Bank Rate page (bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/the-interest-rate-bank-rate).

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Live Odds
YES 60% 40% NO
• YES 0.0% 24h 24h NO +0.0% •
Price History Last 7 days
YES
60.0%
ℙ0.60 0 shares
NO
40.0%
ℙ0.40 0 shares
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Market Information
Market Will Bank Rate still be 3.75% at year-end 2026?
Category Finance
Resolution Date December 31, 2026
Market Size 0 shares
Created September 1, 2026
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