Latest rate is 4.9% for April to June 2026.
Market resolves to YES if the UK unemployment rate (aged 16+) reported in the ONS Labour Market Overview bulletin published on 15 September 2026 is 5.0% or higher. A reading of 4.9% or below resolves NO. Resolution uses the headline unemployment rate in the ONS release published at 7am. Source: ONS Labour Market Overview, September 2026 (ons.gov.uk/releases).